News

News and viral moment markets represent prediction markets' cutting edge, transforming breaking news, social media trends, and cultural phenomena into engaging, time-sensitive betting opportunities.

Political & Government Markets

Announcement Timing

"Official statement to be released before X time" capitalizes on political communication patterns, while "Legislation to pass committee vote within 24 hours" integrates with legislative calendars and political momentum.

Electoral & Campaign Activities

"Candidate to announce campaign within week" reflects political seasonality and opportunity windows, with "Diplomatic meeting to occur before month end" incorporating international relations timing and urgency.

Financial & Corporate Events

Market-Moving Announcements

"Stock to move 5%+ after earnings release" combines financial analysis with market timing, while "Deal to be announced before market close" leverages corporate communication patterns and regulatory requirements.

Corporate Strategy Markets

"Company X to unveil product at next event" incorporates technology cycles and competitive positioning, with "CEO transition to be announced this quarter" reflecting corporate governance patterns and succession planning.

Social Media & Cultural Trends

Viral Content Prediction

"Video to achieve 1M views within 24 hours" leverages platform algorithms and content virality patterns, while "Post to receive 100K+ interactions by midnight" incorporates engagement timing and audience behavior.

Influencer Activity

"Creator to post within next 6 hours" reflects content creation schedules and engagement optimization, with "Celebrity to join new social platform" incorporating platform adoption patterns and celebrity digital strategy.

Trend Dynamics

"Challenge to be attempted by 100+ users today" captures social media trend acceleration, while "Format to peak in usage within 48 hours" reflects content lifecycle understanding and platform dynamics.

Technology & Innovation Markets

Product Launch Timing

"Major product reveal at next keynote" integrates with corporate event schedules and product development cycles, while "Device to become available for purchase today" leverages supply chain and retail coordination patterns.

Regulatory & Legal Events

"Court decision to be announced this week" incorporates legal calendar understanding and case complexity assessment, with "Government statement to affect crypto markets" reflecting regulatory communication patterns and market impact timing.

Content Curation & Safety Framework

Ethical Guidelines

• No Individual Suffering: Zero tolerance for markets based on personal misfortune, accidents, or health issues

• Public Figure Limitation: Markets restricted to verified public figures and entities with legitimate public interest

• Legal Compliance: No betting on unlawful activities or outcomes that could encourage illegal behavior

• Minor Protection: Absolute prohibition on any content involving individuals under 18

Source Verification Standards

• Primary Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, Associated Press, BBC, CNN for news-based markets

• Social Platform Integration: Blue checkmark verification requirements with multi-platform presence confirmation

• Fact-Checking Integration: Collaboration with established fact-checking organizations for controversial or complex topics

• Editorial Review: Human oversight for context, sensitivity, and appropriateness before market activation

Resolution Framework

• Multi-Source Confirmation: Significant markets require verification from at least three independent, credible sources

• Verification Delays: Built-in waiting periods allow for fact-checking and source confirmation

• Correction Protocols: Automatic market voiding when primary sources retract or correct information

• Review Mechanisms: Limited circumstances allow outcome reconsideration with transparent investigation procedures

Risk Management & Responsibility

Content Monitoring

Continuous evaluation of active markets through AI-powered classification, user flagging systems, and pattern recognition for emerging problematic content types.

Educational Integration

Markets include educational content about news source bias, media literacy, and critical thinking, emphasizing the speculative nature of news-based betting and encouraging diverse information sources.

Democratic Responsibility

Special attention to election integrity with safeguards against markets that could influence voting behavior, while promoting informed civic engagement and understanding of democratic processes.