Resolving Markets

Every market includes precise, unambiguous resolution criteria that eliminate interpretive disputes and enable automated settlement.

Resolution Framework

Outcome Definition: Exact events or thresholds that constitute winning conditions, specified with measurable criteria.

Data Requirements: Specific metrics and verification standards required for confident resolution.

Temporal Boundaries: Precise start and end times for outcome evaluation, accounting for delays and review periods.

Void Conditions: Circumstances that invalidate markets and trigger automatic refunds.

Multi-Tier Verification System

Instant Resolution (80% of markets) For straightforward outcomes with high-confidence data:

  • Immediate outcome detection using primary feeds

  • Automated confidence scoring above 95%

  • Real-time rule application and verification

  • Settlement within 10 seconds of event completion

Enhanced Verification (18% of markets)

For complex or high-stakes outcomes:

  • Cross-reference with multiple independent providers

  • Multi-source agreement thresholds (minimum 2 sources, 90+ confidence)

  • Weighted reliability scoring based on historical accuracy

  • Resolution within 60 seconds after verification

Manual Review (2% of markets) For exceptional circumstances requiring human oversight:

  • Complex rule interpretations

  • Conflicting high-confidence data sources

  • Technical anomalies affecting data quality

  • Resolution within 10 minutes with full transparency

Blockchain Settlement

Once resolved, outcomes become permanently immutable:

On-chain Recording: Resolution details and rationale recorded on Solana blockchain for complete transparency.

Audit Trail: Complete history of resolution process available for independent verification.

Finality: Outcomes cannot be altered after blockchain recording, ensuring absolute certainty.

Error Handling & Recovery

Automatic Void Conditions

  • Conflicting data sources with no resolution path

  • Technical failures preventing accurate determination

  • Rule violations or external interference affecting fairness

  • Data quality below minimum thresholds

Refund Process

  • Immediate identification of void conditions

  • Automated full stake returns to all participants

  • Clear communication about void reasons

  • Historical record keeping for pattern analysis

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